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Iran war: The jet fuel crunch point is only weeks away (The Press, Christchurch, New Zealand, The Post, Wellington, New Zealand)

Press/Media: Expert Comment

Description

Quoted as an Australian energy markets specialist on New Zealand's jet fuel supply position during the Iran conflict, forecasting that airlines would cut long-haul services to avoid stranding aircraft where refuelling could not be assured. Also credited, with the London Stock Exchange Group, as the source of the article's vessel-tracking table of inbound fuel tankers, their origin ports, cargo types and arrival dates.

Subject

Jet fuel supply risk and aviation network exposure in New Zealand during the Middle East oil supply disruption.

Period17 Apr 2026

Media contributions

1

Media contributions

  • TitleIran war: The jet fuel crunch point is only weeks away
    Degree of recognitionNational
    Media name/outletThe Post
    Media typeWeb
    Duration/Length/Size6 min read
    Country/TerritoryNew Zealand
    Date17/04/26
    DescriptionThis article examines New Zealand's jet fuel position several weeks into the Iran conflict, when the country held 47 days of supply, only 21.3 days of which was onshore. Dr Lurion De Mello assesses the commercial logic facing long-haul carriers, arguing that some airlines would trim schedules to New Zealand rather than risk aircraft being unable to refuel for the return leg. The piece sets this against industry and airport perspectives on fare adjustment, capacity consolidation and route viability, and against analysis of constraints at source, including South Korea's restriction of fuel exports to 2025 levels and reduced refinery throughput across Asian suppliers. It further contrasts New Zealand's limited negotiating position with Australia's use of LNG as leverage to secure alternative barrels, and reports the aviation sector's concern that price, rather than availability, has become the binding constraint for regional operators, flight schools and agricultural aviation. De Mello also supplied the vessel-tracking dataset underpinning the article's tanker arrivals table, produced with London Stock Exchange Group data.
    Producer/AuthorRoeland van den Bergh
    URLhttps://www.thepost.co.nz/business/360986494/concern-long-haul-airline-carriers-might-be-stuck-nz-if-jet-fuel-supplies-run-down
    PersonsLurion De Mello