(Dis)Integrating the Past: How old states shape new wars

This project aims to model how precolonial states have shaped internal borders and the flow-on impacts for conflict using new spatial data on the evolution of boundaries in Asia and Africa from 1750-2020. Discontinuities between precolonial states, colonial regimes, and postcolonial governance have destabilised countries in Australia's region, such as Indonesia, and remain a source of tension. This project provides scientific knowledge on the mechanisms through which precolonial institutions can be peacefully incorporated into stable, democratic governments. Results will help policy makers anticipate the fault lines along which new conflicts in Australia's
region might erupt and tools to prevent their onset.