A study on stock-selection and market-timing performance

Evidence from Hong Kong mandatory provident funds (MPF)

Patrick Kuok Kun Chu, Michael McKenzie

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)


This paper presents the first comprehensive study of the performance and market timing ability of the equity funds that comprise the Hong Kong Mandatory Provident Funds (MPF) scheme. In general, our results suggest that US equity funds consistently underperform relative to the market, while the other fund groups consistently outperform the market. The stock-selection ability of MPF constituent equity funds in times of changing economic condition is also investigated. The evidence is consistent with previous studies, which suggest that the conditional models decrease the individual fund traditional alpha measure. The market timing models of Treynor - Mazuy and Henriksson - Merton provide evidence of superior market timing ability.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)617-649
Number of pages33
JournalReview of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - 2008


  • Conditional models
  • Market-timing ability
  • Pension funds
  • Stock-selection performance evaluation

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