Age-period-cohort modelling of the incidence of breast and cervical cancer In New South Wales

Halimah Awang, Don McNeil, Marilyn Chilvers, Jennifer Middledorp, Richard Taylor

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    Abstract

    The incidence of breast and cervical cancer in New South Wales women, diagnosed between 1972 and 1991, is modelled using an age-period-cohort poisson regression model. The age-period-cohort models are fitted to the data without the age constraint, using 5-year age and cohort effects and annual period effects. These models show significant age, period and cohort effects for breast cancer and significant age and cohort effects for cervical cancer. Both models confirm expected aetiological patterns. A sharply increasing age effect is exhibited until age 45 with a change in slope thereafter, the effect at age group of 80-84 is approximately 11% higher than at age group of 60-64.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)48-51
    Number of pages4
    JournalJournal of Medical Sciences
    Volume1
    Issue number2
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2001

    Keywords

    • Poisson regression
    • age-period-cohort models
    • cancer incidence

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