Analysis of longitudinal patterns and predictors of medicine use in residential aged care using group-based trajectory modeling: the "MEDTRAC-Cardiovascular" longitudinal cohort study

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Abstract

Aim: Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of death globally. Ensuring ongoing use of medicines-medication persistence-is crucial, yet no prior studies have examined this in residential aged care facilities (RACFs). We aimed to identify long-term trajectories of persistence with cardiovascular medicines and determine predictors of persistence trajectories.

Method: A longitudinal cohort study of 2837 newly admitted permanent residents from 30 RACFs in New South Wales, Australia. We monitored weekly exposure to six cardiovascular medicine classes-lipid modifiers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEI/ARBs), beta-blockers, diuretics, calcium channel blockers (CCB), and cardiac therapy-over 3 years. Group-based trajectory modeling was employed to determine persistence trajectories for each class.

Results: At baseline, 76.6% (n = 2172) received at least one cardiovascular medicine with 41.2% receiving lipid modifiers, 31.4% ACEI/ARBs, 30.2% beta-blockers, 24.4% diuretics, 18.7% CCBs, and 14.8% cardiac therapy. The model identified two persistence trajectories for CCBs and three trajectories for all other classes. Sustained high persistence rates ranged from 68.4% (ACEI/ARBs) to 79.8% (beta-blockers) while early decline in persistence and subsequent discontinuation rates ranged from 7.6% (cardiac therapy) to 25.3% (CCBs). Logistic regressions identified 11 predictors of a declining persistence across the six medicine classes.

Conclusion: Our study revealed varied patterns of cardiovascular medicine use in RACFs, with 2-3 distinctive medicine use trajectories across different classes, each exhibiting a unique clinical profile, and up to a quarter of residents discontinuing a medicine class. Future studies should explore the underlying reasons and appropriateness of nonpersistence to aid in identifying areas for improvement.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere5881
Pages (from-to)1-11
Number of pages11
JournalPharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety
Volume33
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2024

Bibliographical note

Copyright the Author(s) 2024. Version archived for private and non-commercial use with the permission of the author/s and according to publisher conditions. For further rights please contact the publisher.

Keywords

  • aged care
  • cardiovascular medicines
  • group-based trajectory modeling
  • nursing homes
  • residential aged care

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