Abstract
Previous research has identified that the information effects of buyer-initiated trades are greater than seller-initiated trades. We develop a theoretical model that predicts block purchases are relatively more informed in bear markets and block sales are relatively more informed in bull markets. Using a sample of large trades executed in the E-mini S&P 500 index futures and SPDR S&P 500 exchange traded fund, we find evidence consistent with our theoretical model. Our results are robust to volatility and macro-economic news announcements categorized as bullish or bearish.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 359-373 |
Number of pages | 15 |
Journal | The Journal of Futures Markets |
Volume | 37 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Apr 2017 |