Dependence-based fuzzy clustering of functional time series

Ángel López-Oriona*, Ying Sun, Han Lin Shang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Time series clustering is essential in scientific applications, yet methods for functional time series, collections of infinite-dimensional curves treated as random elements in a Hilbert space, remain underdeveloped. This work presents clustering approaches for functional time series that combine the fuzzy C-medoids and fuzzy C-means procedures with a novel dissimilarity measure tailored for functional data. This dissimilarity is based on an extension of the quantile autocorrelation to the functional context. Our methods effectively group time series with similar dependence structures, achieving high accuracy and computational efficiency in simulations. The practical utility of the approaches is demonstrated through case studies on high-frequency financial stock data and multi-country age-specific mortality improvements. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1729-1741
Number of pages13
JournalJournal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
Volume34
Issue number4
Early online date9 Apr 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025

Keywords

  • Functional time series
  • Dependence measures
  • Clustering
  • Fuzzy C-medoids
  • Stock returns
  • Mortality improvement rates

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