Abstract
We study, using two data series, namely GDP and the index of industrial production, the relationship between output variability and the growth rate of output for Mexico. Ng-Perron unit root test shows that the growth rate of GDP is non-stationary but the growth rate of industrial output is stationary. Therefore, we use the ARCH-M model for the monthly data of industrial output. A number of specifications (with and without a dummy variable) are used. In all cases, the results show that output variability for Mexico has a negative but insignificant effect on the growth rate of output.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1105-1111 |
Number of pages | 7 |
Journal | The Empirical economics letters |
Volume | 8 |
Issue number | 11 |
Publication status | Published - 2009 |
Keywords
- economic growth
- volatility
- variability
- business cycle fluctuations
- ARCH models