Evaluating an entropy-maximizing solution to the ecological inference problem

Split-ticket voting in New Zealand, 1999

Ron Johnston*, Charles Pattie

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

For geographers, one important aspect of the ecological inference problem relates to the analysis of spatial variations in individual behavior. Obtaining estimates of this behavior, in the absence of direct data, is often difficult, and the "solution" to the ecological inference problem propounded by G. King is not relevant in all circumstances. An alternative, using a different approach, has been used for some time in electoral studies but has lacked "real" data against which to assess the accuracy of its estimates. The availability of such data for New Zealand's 1999 general election allows such an assessment to be made - with very favourable results. The estimates are then used to test hypotheses regarding the spatial variation in split-ticket voting, again with considerable success.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1-23
Number of pages23
JournalGeographical Analysis
Volume35
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2003

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