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Fitting a spatial-temporal rainfall model using Approximate Bayesian Computation

Nanda Aryal, Owen D. Jones

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference proceeding contributionpeer-review

Abstract

We fit a stochastic spatial-temporal model to high-resolution rainfall radar data for a single rainfall event. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is used to fit a model of Cox, Isham and Northrop, previously fitted using the Generalised Method of Moments (GMM). We then show that ABC readily adapts to more general, and thus more realistic, variants of the model. The Simulated Method of Moments (SMM) is used to initialise the ABC fit.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 33rd International Workshop on Statistical Modelling
Place of PublicationUnited Kingdom
PublisherStatistical Modelling Society
Pages7-12
Number of pages6
Volume2
Publication statusPublished - 2018
Externally publishedYes
EventInternational Workshop on Statistical Modelling (33rd : 2018) - Bristol, United Kingdom
Duration: 15 Jul 201820 Jul 2018

Conference

ConferenceInternational Workshop on Statistical Modelling (33rd : 2018)
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityBristol
Period15/07/1820/07/18

Keywords

  • Spatial-temporal
  • spatiotemporal
  • rainfall
  • Approximate Bayesian Computation

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