Increasing the risk management effectiveness from higher accuracy: A novel non-parametric method

Jinbo Huang, Ashley Ding, Yong Li, Dong Lu*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

7 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The importance of effective risk management has never been greater in recent decades. However, the estimate accuracy of risk measures, such as Value-at-Risk, remains a challenge. In this paper, we propose a novel non-parametric method to efficiently enhance the accuracy of risk estimation as our method can avoid model misspecification and fully explore the tail information contained in asset returns. The non-parametric Value-at-Risk measure is embedded into a risk hedge model to increase the effectiveness of risk management. Simulations show that our new method outperforms existing methods in terms of accuracy. Empirical findings support that the improved estimation is helpful for more effectively managing risk in weather-sensitive markets.
Original languageEnglish
Article number101373
Pages (from-to)1-15
Number of pages15
JournalPacific-Basin Finance Journal
Volume62
Issue number101373
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sep 2020

Keywords

  • Risk hedge
  • Value-at-Risk
  • Non-parametric estimation
  • Weather-sensitive markets

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