Inferring migration flows from the migration propensities of infants

Mexico and Indonesia

Andrei Rogers*, Bryan Jones, Virgilio Partida, Salut Muhidin

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

6 Citations (Scopus)


The need for methods of indirectly estimating migration flows is particularly important in developing countries, where migration data are often incomplete and inaccurate. This paper focuses on the use of an indirect internal migration estimation method applied to Mexican and Indonesian census data. It shows that the mobility propensities of infants can be used to infer the corresponding propensities of all other age groups. However, the promise of this method is reduced in instances of inadequate data, and great care must be taken to identify outlying values in the data and to correct obviously erroneous patterns. Future work increasingly will be directed to this issue.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)443-465
Number of pages23
JournalAnnals of Regional Science
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2007
Externally publishedYes

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