Abstract
We propose a new, price-based measure of information risk called abnormal idiosyncratic volatility (AIV) that captures information asymmetry faced by uninformed investors. AIV is the idiosyncratic volatility prior to information events in excess of normal levels. Using earnings announcements as information events, we show that AIV is positively associated with informed return run-ups, abnormal insider trading, short selling, and institutional trading during pre-earnings-announcement periods. We find that stocks with high AIV earn economically and statistically larger future returns than stocks with low AIV. Taken together, our findings support the notion that information risk is priced.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 528-554 |
Number of pages | 27 |
Journal | Journal of Financial Economics |
Volume | 135 |
Issue number | 2 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Feb 2020 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Information risk
- Idiosyncratic volatility
- Earnings announcement
- Expected returns