TY - JOUR
T1 - Longevity bond pricing under stochastic interest rate and mortality with regime-switching
AU - Shen, Yang
AU - Siu, Tak Kuen
PY - 2013/1
Y1 - 2013/1
N2 - We develop a flexible model to value longevity bonds which incorporates several important sources of risk, namely, interest rate risk, mortality risk and the risk due to structural changes in economic and environmental conditions. In particular, Markov, regime-switching, jump-diffusion models are used to describe stochastic movements of short-term interest rate and force of mortality. These models capture jumps in short rate and mortality rate and the impacts of economic and environmental fundamentals on their movements over time. Using the concept of stochastic flows, we derive an exponential affine form of the longevity bond price in the proposed joint stochastic interest rate and mortality models. In particular, a representation for the exponential affine form of the longevity bond price is obtained in terms of fundamental matrix solutions of linear, matrix-valued, ordinary differential equations.
AB - We develop a flexible model to value longevity bonds which incorporates several important sources of risk, namely, interest rate risk, mortality risk and the risk due to structural changes in economic and environmental conditions. In particular, Markov, regime-switching, jump-diffusion models are used to describe stochastic movements of short-term interest rate and force of mortality. These models capture jumps in short rate and mortality rate and the impacts of economic and environmental fundamentals on their movements over time. Using the concept of stochastic flows, we derive an exponential affine form of the longevity bond price in the proposed joint stochastic interest rate and mortality models. In particular, a representation for the exponential affine form of the longevity bond price is obtained in terms of fundamental matrix solutions of linear, matrix-valued, ordinary differential equations.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84871659940&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.11.006
DO - 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.11.006
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84871659940
SN - 0167-6687
VL - 52
SP - 114
EP - 123
JO - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
JF - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
IS - 1
ER -