Model fitting for predicted precipitation in Darwin

some issues with model choice

Jim Farmer

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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Abstract

The article presents a response to an article by John Boncek and Sig Harden published in volume 23 of the "Australian Senior Mathematics Journal" which questions the suitability of using the Markov chain model in an experiment to predict the weather pattern in Darwin, Northern Territory. The argument states that the Markov chains do not appear in the draft Australian Senior Secondary Curriculum (ACARA, 2009), and that the Markov chain predicts rainfall distribution incorrectly.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)6-12
Number of pages7
JournalAustralian Senior Mathematics Journal
Volume24
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 2010

Bibliographical note

Version originally published as Farmer, J. (2010). Model fitting for predicted precipitation in Darwin: some issues with model choice. Australian senior mathematics journal, 24(2), p. 6-12. Version archived for private and non-commercial use with the permission of the author and according to publisher conditions. For further reproduction rights please contact the publisher at http://www.aamt.edu.au/Webshop/Entire-catalogue/Australian-Senior-Mathematics-Journal.

Keywords

  • Markov processes
  • weather forecasting

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