TY - JOUR
T1 - Natural variability and warming signals in global ocean wave climates
AU - Odériz, I.
AU - Silva, R.
AU - Mortlock, T. R.
AU - Mori, N.
AU - Shimura, T.
AU - Webb, A.
AU - Padilla-Hernández, R.
AU - Villers, S.
N1 - Copyright the Author(s) 2021. Version archived for private and non-commercial use with the permission of the author/s and according to publisher conditions. For further rights please contact the publisher.
PY - 2021/6/16
Y1 - 2021/6/16
N2 - This paper presents a multivariate classification of the global wave climate into types driven by atmospheric circulation patterns. The primary source of the net long-term variability is evaluated based on historical wave simulations. Results show that the monsoon, extratropical, subtropical, and polar wave climate types of the Pacific and North Atlantic Oceans are dominated by natural variability, whereas the extratropical and subtropical wave climate types in the Indian Ocean, and the tropical wave climate types of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans exhibit a global warming signal. In the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean, strong natural variability may mask a global warming signal that is yet to emerge as being statistically significant. In addition, wave climate teleconnections were found across the world that can provide a framework for joint strategies to achieve the goals of climate adaption for resilient coastal communities and environments.
AB - This paper presents a multivariate classification of the global wave climate into types driven by atmospheric circulation patterns. The primary source of the net long-term variability is evaluated based on historical wave simulations. Results show that the monsoon, extratropical, subtropical, and polar wave climate types of the Pacific and North Atlantic Oceans are dominated by natural variability, whereas the extratropical and subtropical wave climate types in the Indian Ocean, and the tropical wave climate types of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans exhibit a global warming signal. In the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean, strong natural variability may mask a global warming signal that is yet to emerge as being statistically significant. In addition, wave climate teleconnections were found across the world that can provide a framework for joint strategies to achieve the goals of climate adaption for resilient coastal communities and environments.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85107545980&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1029/2021GL093622
DO - 10.1029/2021GL093622
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85107545980
SN - 1944-8007
VL - 48
SP - 1
EP - 12
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
IS - 11
M1 - e2021GL093622
ER -