Nonlinear autocorrelation function of functional time series

Xin Huang*, Han Lin Shang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

6 Citations (Scopus)
100 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

In functional time series analysis, the functional autocorrelation function (fACF) plays an important role in revealing the temporal dependence structures underlying the dynamics and identifying the lags at which substantial correlation exists. However, akin to its counterpart in the univariate case, the fACF is restricted by linear structure and can be misleading in reflecting nonlinear temporal dependence. This paper proposes a nonlinear alternative to the fACF for analyzing the temporal dependence in functional time series. We consider linear and nonlinear data generating processes: a functional autoregressive process and a functional generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity process. We demonstrate that when the process exhibits linear temporal structures, the inference obtained from our proposed nonlinear fACF is consistent with that from the fACF. When the underlying process exhibits nonlinear temporal dependence, our nonlinear fACF has a superior capability in uncovering the nonlinear structure that the fACF misleads. An empirical data analysis highlights its applications in unveiling nonlinear temporal structures in the daily curves of the intraday volatility dynamics of the foreign exchange rate.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2537–2554
Number of pages18
JournalNonlinear Dynamics
Volume111
Issue number3
Early online date7 Oct 2022
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2023

Bibliographical note

© The Author(s) 2022. Version archived for private and non-commercial use with the permission of the author/s and according to publisher conditions. For further rights please contact the publisher.

Keywords

  • Financial time series
  • Forex rates
  • Functional GARCH model
  • Functional autoregressive model
  • Nonlinear temporal dependence

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