Abstract
An optimal reinsurance problem of an insurer is studied in a continuous-time model, where insurance risk is partly transferred to two reinsurers, one adopting the expected-value premium principle and another one using the variance premium principle. The insurer aims to select an optimal reinsurance arrangement to minimize the probability of ruin. To provide an easy-to-implement solution to the problem, (semi)-explicit expressions for the optimal reinsurance strategies as well as the minimal ruin probabilities are derived for several claims distributions. Numerical studies including a real-data example based on the Danish fire insurance losses are provided to illustrate the solution of the problem. Our empirical results based on the Danish data reveal that the heavy-right-tailedness of claims distributions has a significant impact on the optimal reinsurance strategies and has a quite pronounced impact on the residual risk described by the minimal ruin probability.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 182-195 |
Number of pages | 14 |
Journal | Economic Modelling |
Volume | 59 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1 Dec 2016 |
Keywords
- Expected value premium principle
- Variance premium principle
- Ruin probability
- Proportional reinsurance
- Excess of loss reinsurance
- Dynamic programming principle
- Heavy-tailed claims
- RISK CONTROL
- DIVIDEND DISTRIBUTION
- PREMIUM PRINCIPLES
- DIFFUSION-MODEL
- DEPENDENT RISKS
- EXCESS