Abstract
We study the pricing of an option when the price dynamic of the underlying risky asset is governed by a Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion. We suppose that the drift and volatility of the underlying risky asset are modulated by an observable continuous-time, finite-state Markov chain. We develop a two-stage pricing model which can price both the diffusion risk and the regime-switching risk based on the Esscher transform and the minimization of the maximum entropy between an equivalent martingale measure and the real-world probability measure over different states. Numerical experiments are conducted and their results reveal that the impact of pricing regime-switching risk on the option prices is significant.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 369-388 |
Number of pages | 20 |
Journal | Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica |
Volume | 25 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Jul 2009 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Esscher transform
- Martingale restriction
- Min-max entropy problem
- Option valuation
- Regime-switching risk
- Two-stage pricing procedure