Abstract
We examine the relationship between output variability and the growth rate for South Korea by using quarterly data. We use two data series: GDP and the index of industrial production. We test for stationarity using Ng-Perron unit root tests. We find that the growth rate of GDP is non-stationary but the growth rate of industrial production is stationary. Thus, we use the ARCH-M model for the growth of industrial production. A number of specifications of the ARCH-M model are used. In all cases, the results show that the output variability has a positive but insignificant effect on the growth rate of output.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 163-172 |
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Journal | Asian-African Journal of Economics and Econometrics |
| Volume | 6 |
| Publication status | Published - 2006 |
Keywords
- economic growth
- volatility
- variability
- business cycles
- GARCH models
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