Performance of navy's global model in predicting tropical cyclone formations in the western North Pacific

Kevin K W Cheung*, Stefano C S Liu, Russell L. Elsberry

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference proceeding contribution

Abstract

The identification of tropical cyclone (TC) formations in the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) analysis and forecast fields, was discussed. The NOGAPS forecasts of TC formations in the western North Pacific (WNP) during 1997-1999 were verified. The number of false alarms (FA) in the NOGAPS forecasts was also examined, and it was identified that a large growth in FAs occurs between 24 h and 48 h before reaching a near saturation at later times. It was observed that NOGAPS can successfully handle formation cases in monsoon shear line with enhanced cross-equatrial flow.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
Place of PublicationBoston, MA
PublisherAmerican Meteorological Society
Pages415-416
Number of pages2
Publication statusPublished - 2004
Externally publishedYes
Event26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorolgy - Miami, FL., United States
Duration: 3 May 20047 May 2004

Other

Other26th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorolgy
CountryUnited States
CityMiami, FL.
Period3/05/047/05/04

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Performance of navy's global model in predicting tropical cyclone formations in the western North Pacific'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this