Abstract
Background: Prognostic models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing surgery often fail to account for perioperative changes in liver function. This study evaluated a novel dynamic index that integrates changes in the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and platelet count to predict postoperative morbidity. Methods: A multi-institutional database was queried for patients undergoing surgery for HCC (2000–2023). “Changes in ALBI and platelets” (CAP) were calculated as CAP = (ΔALBI2+ΔPlatelets2), comparing preoperative values with those from postoperative day 3. Associations between CAP and the Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) were examined using restricted cubic spline and Rand Forest analyses. Results: A total of 1155 patients were included. The median CAP was 1.1 (IQR 0.8–1.5). Postoperative complications occurred in ∼40 % of patients, with a mean CCI of 15. Recursive partitioning determined CAP = 1.0 and CAP = 1.6 as the primary and secondary optimal cut-offs. In adjusted analysis, each unit increase in CAP corresponded to a 4.90 (95%CI 0.98–8.82) increase in CCI. CAP>1.6 was associated with higher likelihood of any (aOR 2.35, 95%CI 1.66–3.34) and severe complications (aOR 2.27, 95%CI 1.61–3.20). Conclusion: CAP independently predicted morbidity following HCC surgery, highlighting the prognostic utility of dynamic indices. An online calculator was made available at: https://jk-osu.shinyapps.io/CAP_Chatzipanagiotou/.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 389-398 |
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Journal | HPB |
| Volume | 28 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Mar 2026 |
| Externally published | Yes |
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