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Political risk, political polarization, and earnings management

Ashrafee T. Hossain*, Mostafa Monzur Hasan, Abdullah-Al Masum

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We examine how exposure to firm-level political risk (PRISK) affects corporate earnings management (EM). We present robust evidence that heightened PRISK leads to an increase in real earnings management (REM); however, we do not find consistent evidence supporting an increase in accrual earnings management (AEM). Our results remain robust when employing difference-in-differences (DiD), two-stage least squares (2SLS), propensity score matching (PSM), and additional methods designed to address endogeneity concerns. Additionally, we document that firm-level political polarization exposure (PPE) intensifies the PRISK-REM relationship. More interestingly, the financial market is relatively forgiving to firms that engage in REM activities in the face of both high PRISK and high PPE. Our findings provide novel insights into how PRISK shapes the financial reporting quality, and the critical role PPE plays in this relationship.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)175-200
Number of pages26
JournalThe Financial Review
Volume61
Issue number1
Early online date24 Jul 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2026

Keywords

  • corporate governance
  • political polarization
  • political risk
  • real earnings management

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