TY - JOUR
T1 - Predicting floodplain inundation and vegetation dynamics in arid wetlands
AU - Sandi, Steven G.
AU - Saco, Patricia M.
AU - Kuczera, George
AU - Wen, Li
AU - Saintilan, Neil
AU - Rodriguez, Jose F.
N1 - Copyright the Author(s). Version archived for private and non-commercial use with the permission of the author/s and according to publisher conditions. For further rights please contact the publisher.
PY - 2018/9/5
Y1 - 2018/9/5
N2 - The Macquarie Marshes is a freshwater wetland system located in semiarid Australia. The ecological importance of this site has been recognized under the Ramsar convention. Plant associations in the marshes has shown a complex dynamic where some wetland vegetation patches have transitioned to terrestrial vegetation during severe drought, but also quickly responded to increased inflows due to record and near record rainfall accompanied by water releases from an upstream reservoir. Management decisions regarding the environmental flows require the use of predictive tools in order to assess the response of the vegetation. We have developed a vegetation response model that couples hydrodynamic modelling of the northern Macquarie Marshes with watering requirements of different plant associations and vegetation succession rules. The model simulates floods in the wetland during a series of years, after which patches of vegetation are analysed according to water depth, percent exceedance time and frequencies of inundation. During the simulated period, the patch can have adequate watering conditions, or it can have critical conditions that would lead to a succession to another type of vegetation. The predicted vegetation is reintroduced in the model, providing feedbacks for the next simulation period. In this contribution, we implemented the model to simulate changes of wetland understory during the period 1991 to 2014.
AB - The Macquarie Marshes is a freshwater wetland system located in semiarid Australia. The ecological importance of this site has been recognized under the Ramsar convention. Plant associations in the marshes has shown a complex dynamic where some wetland vegetation patches have transitioned to terrestrial vegetation during severe drought, but also quickly responded to increased inflows due to record and near record rainfall accompanied by water releases from an upstream reservoir. Management decisions regarding the environmental flows require the use of predictive tools in order to assess the response of the vegetation. We have developed a vegetation response model that couples hydrodynamic modelling of the northern Macquarie Marshes with watering requirements of different plant associations and vegetation succession rules. The model simulates floods in the wetland during a series of years, after which patches of vegetation are analysed according to water depth, percent exceedance time and frequencies of inundation. During the simulated period, the patch can have adequate watering conditions, or it can have critical conditions that would lead to a succession to another type of vegetation. The predicted vegetation is reintroduced in the model, providing feedbacks for the next simulation period. In this contribution, we implemented the model to simulate changes of wetland understory during the period 1991 to 2014.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85053754233&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1051/e3sconf/20184002019
DO - 10.1051/e3sconf/20184002019
M3 - Conference paper
AN - SCOPUS:85053754233
SN - 2267-1242
VL - 40
SP - 1
EP - 8
JO - E3S Web of Conferences
JF - E3S Web of Conferences
M1 - 02019
T2 - 9th International Conference on Fluvial Hydraulics, River Flow 2018
Y2 - 5 September 2018 through 8 September 2018
ER -