Predicting future cash flow from operations

Australian evidence

S. J. Wright, Yuqi Zhao, Garry Hobbes

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference proceeding contribution

Abstract

This paper investigates which accounting variable has superior predictive ability for future cash flow: current cash flow from operations, or current earnings. The question is examined in an Australian context for the years 1995 to 2005, on a sample of 350 firms. The question is also examined by industry for the same firms. In most U.S. studies, superior predictions are obtained using current earnings. However, the same result is not expected in Australia, due to the different industrial composition of the economy, and the superiority of cash flow data prepared under Australian accounting standards. Consistent with our expectation, the results indicate that current cash flow from operations has superior predictive ability over current earnings for future cash flow from operations, and also that cash flow from operations has higher incremental information content than current earnings.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication31st Annual Congress of the European Accounting Association
Place of PublicationRotterdam, Holland
PublisherEuropean Accounting Association
Number of pages15
Publication statusPublished - 2008
EventAnnual Congress of the European Accounting Association (31st : 2008) - Rotterdam, Holland
Duration: 23 Apr 200825 Apr 2008

Conference

ConferenceAnnual Congress of the European Accounting Association (31st : 2008)
CityRotterdam, Holland
Period23/04/0825/04/08

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