Prediction of coronary artery disease risk using genetic and phenotypic variables

Letitia M.F. Sng*, Reevanshi Sharma, Sam Bagot, Denis C. Bauer, Natalie A. Twine

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference proceeding contributionpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)
9 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Coronary artery disease (CAD) has the highest disease burden worldwide. To manage this burden, predictive models are required to screen patients for preventative treatment. A range of variables have been explored for their capacity to predict disease, including phenotypic (age, sex, BMI and smoking status), medical imaging (carotid artery thickness) and genotypic. We use a machine learning models and the UK Biobank cohort to measure the prediction capacity of these 3 variable categories, both in combination and isolation. We demonstrate that phenotypic variables from the Framingham risk score have the best prediction capacity, although a combination of phenotypic, medical imaging and genotypic variables deliver the most specific models. Furthermore, we demonstrate that Variant Spark, a random forest based GWAS platform, performs effective feature selection for SNP-based genotype variables, identifying 115 significantly associated SNPs to the CAD phenotype.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationMEDINFO 2023 - The Future is Accessible
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the 19th World Congress on Medical and Health Informatics
EditorsJen Bichel-Findlay, Paula Otero, Philip Scott, Elaine Huesing
Place of PublicationAmsterdam
PublisherIOS Press
Pages1021-1025
Number of pages5
Volume310
ISBN (Electronic)9781643684574
ISBN (Print)9781643684567
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024
Event19th World Congress on Medical and Health Informatics, MedInfo 2023 - Sydney, Australia
Duration: 8 Jul 202312 Jul 2023

Publication series

NameStudies in Health Technology and Informatics
Volume310
ISSN (Print)0926-9630
ISSN (Electronic)1879-8365

Conference

Conference19th World Congress on Medical and Health Informatics, MedInfo 2023
Country/TerritoryAustralia
CitySydney
Period8/07/2312/07/23

Bibliographical note

Copyright the Author(s) 2024. Version archived for private and non-commercial use with the permission of the author/s and according to publisher conditions. For further rights please contact the publisher.

Keywords

  • Cardiovascular disease
  • disease risk prediction
  • machine learning

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