Progression to second and third births in China

Patterns and covariates in six provinces

Kim Choe Minja Kim Choe, Fei Guo Fei, Jianming Wu Jianming, Ruyue Zhang Ruyue

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Data on ever-married women of reproductive age from six Chinese provinces were obtained from the 1987 in depth fertility survey, phase II, to examine whether government population policies related to child mortality, rural residence, ethnic group and gender of the firstborn child, or individual characteristics such as educational level and living standard are more important in determining which women have more than one child. Among women who had a first birth during 1977-1987, the proportion in each province who had a second birth within 10 yr of the first ranged from 30% to 93%, and the proportions who had a third birth within 10yrs of their second ranged from 15% to 80%. The most significant covariate for predicting a second birth, particularly in areas where few women have more than one child, was the death of the previous child. Having a daughter the first time also had a strong positive effect on the likelihood of having a second birth in some areas. -from Authors

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)130-136
JournalReprint - East-West Center, Population Series
Volume288
Publication statusPublished - 1993

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