Public news flows and Chinese renminbi: A volatility regime-switching analysis

Kin-Yip Ho*, Yanlin Shi, Zhaoyong Zhang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference proceeding contributionpeer-review

Abstract

In recent years the Chinese foreign exchange rate policy and the internationalization of Chinese renminbi (RMB) have been hotly debated both in the academic world and in practice as the growing weight of China's foreign trade and investment flows in the world economy. Most of the existing studies tend to review the process and impact of the RMB internationalization issues. The great interest of RMB internationalization is probably with financial institutions doing international business in the currency and also the Chinese firms conducting international business. This paper examines the impact of public information flows on the volatility of the Chinese RMB spot and non-deliverable forward (NDF) exchange rates using a regime-switching framework. Two major types of news items - articles that report on the RMB and those that report on the US dollar (USD) - are used to measure information flows. The results indicate that the impact of news flows is more significant in the calm (low volatility) regime rather than in the turbulent (high volatility) regime. These findings have important implications for policy-makers in both the public and private sectors and for business firms who wish to hedge their exposures.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationA new paradigm for international business
Subtitle of host publicationproceedings of the Conference on Free Trade Agreements and Regional Integration in East Asia
EditorsHadrian Geri Djajadikerta, Zhaoyong Zhang
Place of PublicationSingapore
PublisherSpringer, Springer Nature
Pages113-127
Number of pages15
ISBN (Electronic)9789812874993
ISBN (Print)9789812874986
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2015
Externally publishedYes
EventAsia Pacific Business Conference on Free Trade Agreements and Regional Integration in East Asia - , Australia
Duration: 27 Nov 201429 Nov 2014

Publication series

NameSpringer Proceedings in Business and Economics
PublisherSpringer
ISSN (Print)2198-7246
ISSN (Electronic)2198-7254

Conference

ConferenceAsia Pacific Business Conference on Free Trade Agreements and Regional Integration in East Asia
CountryAustralia
Period27/11/1429/11/14

Keywords

  • Public news flow
  • Volatility regime-switching analysis
  • Chinese renminbi

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