Regime shifts in the stock - Bond relation in Australia

Garry Hobbes*, Frewen Lam, Geoffrey F. Loudon

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

8 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Previous evidence suggests that the implied volatility from equity index options, as a measure of stock market uncertainty, can provide "forward-looking information" about the stock - bond return correlation. This paper uses an alternative regime-switching autoregressive model to characterize state-dependent stock - bond return comovement and to evaluate the contribution of implied volatility in understanding transition dynamics. We confirm that implied volatility provides information about transition dynamics which is not inherent in the stock and bond returns, notwithstanding several different features of our data set and methodological approach.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)81-99
Number of pages19
JournalReview of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies
Volume10
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2007

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