Previous evidence suggests that the implied volatility from equity index options, as a measure of stock market uncertainty, can provide "forward-looking information" about the stock - bond return correlation. This paper uses an alternative regime-switching autoregressive model to characterize state-dependent stock - bond return comovement and to evaluate the contribution of implied volatility in understanding transition dynamics. We confirm that implied volatility provides information about transition dynamics which is not inherent in the stock and bond returns, notwithstanding several different features of our data set and methodological approach.
|Number of pages||19|
|Journal||Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies|
|Publication status||Published - Mar 2007|