This chapter article examines how regional terrorism will develop from now till 2035, paying close attention to the probable scenarios in a number of Indo-Pacific countries in 2035 in the context of climate change. The article argues that the region will have to deal with the consequences of the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan in 2021. The result is that Pakistan, India, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Indonesia and the Philippines will see an upsurge in terror attacks in the lead-up to 2035. The effects of climate change on low-lying archipelagic, island or delta states, such as Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Indonesia and the Philippines will also contribute greatly to the rising terrorism threat in those countries, with serious consequences for regional security given the transnational nature of terrorism.
|Title of host publication||Climate and security in the Indo-Pacific|
|Place of Publication||Canberra|
|Publisher||Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)|
|Publication status||In preparation - 2022|
- climate change