Reported and secret interventions in the foreign exchange markets

Michel Beine*, Christelle Lecourt

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

24 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Using a new approach relying on news wire reports, we estimate the proportion of secret interventions (i.e., unreported official interventions) in the foreign exchange markets that have been conducted by the three major central banks since 1985. We therefore revisit the estimation of conditional probabilities of secret operations and compute them by both central bank and operation type. The proportion of secret interventions is found to be lower for concerted operations and to display a great deal of variability over time as well as across the three major central banks. Our analysis reveals that the Bank of Japan has recently adopted an intervention policy more based on secret operations.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)215-225
Number of pages11
JournalFinance Research Letters
Volume1
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2004

Keywords

  • Central bank interventions
  • Foreign exchange market
  • Secret operations

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