TY - JOUR
T1 - SPIN
T2 - sparse portfolio strategy with irregular news in fluctuating markets
AU - Zhu, Mengying
AU - Yang, Mengyuan
AU - Wang, Yan
AU - Wu, Fei
AU - Liang, Qianqiao
AU - Chen, Chaochao
AU - Wei, Hua
AU - Zheng, Xiaolin
PY - 2025/6
Y1 - 2025/6
N2 - The sparse portfolio optimization (SPO) problem is increasingly crucial in portfolio management, focusing on selecting a few stocks with the potential for strong market performance. However, sparse portfolio strategies often face significant short-term drawdowns during periods of market volatility. To this end, a news-driven portfolio strategy offers valuable insights to capture sudden market changes. Nevertheless, it encounters two main challenges: how to reasonably map the relationships between news and stocks and how to effectively utilize the irregular timing of news releases. To tackle the SPO problem in fluctuating markets while addressing these challenges, we propose a novel news-driven sparse portfolio strategy, named SPIN. Specifically, SPIN not only leverages industry-specific group structures existing among stocks for a more reasonable news-stock mapping and models news sequential patterns based on our devised novel news-driven forecaster to handle the irregularity of news releases. We rigorously prove that SPIN achieves a sub-linear regret. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate SPIN's superiority over state-of-the-art portfolio strategies in terms of cumulative wealth and short-term drawdowns.
AB - The sparse portfolio optimization (SPO) problem is increasingly crucial in portfolio management, focusing on selecting a few stocks with the potential for strong market performance. However, sparse portfolio strategies often face significant short-term drawdowns during periods of market volatility. To this end, a news-driven portfolio strategy offers valuable insights to capture sudden market changes. Nevertheless, it encounters two main challenges: how to reasonably map the relationships between news and stocks and how to effectively utilize the irregular timing of news releases. To tackle the SPO problem in fluctuating markets while addressing these challenges, we propose a novel news-driven sparse portfolio strategy, named SPIN. Specifically, SPIN not only leverages industry-specific group structures existing among stocks for a more reasonable news-stock mapping and models news sequential patterns based on our devised novel news-driven forecaster to handle the irregularity of news releases. We rigorously prove that SPIN achieves a sub-linear regret. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate SPIN's superiority over state-of-the-art portfolio strategies in terms of cumulative wealth and short-term drawdowns.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85218965186&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/TKDE.2025.3545115
DO - 10.1109/TKDE.2025.3545115
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85218965186
SN - 1041-4347
VL - 37
SP - 3714
EP - 3727
JO - IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering
JF - IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering
IS - 6
ER -