The development of predictive reasoning in Grades 3 through 4

Gabrielle Oslington, Joanne Mulligan, Penny Van Bergen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference proceeding contributionpeer-review

Abstract

This longitudinal study aimed to determine changes in students’ predictive reasoning across one year. Forty-four Australian students predicted future temperatures from a table of maximum monthly temperatures, explained their predictive strategies, and represented the data at two time points: Grade 3 and 4. Responses were analysed using a hierarchical framework of structural statistical features. Students were more likely in Grade 4 than Grade 3 to make reasonable predictions (87% vs 54%), to demonstrate data transnumeration in their representations (71% vs 19%), and to describe data prediction strategies based on extraction, clustering, aggregation of data, and observations of measures of central tendency.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationExcellence in mathematics education: foundations and pathways
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of the 43rd Annual Conference of the Mathematics Education Research Group of Australasia
EditorsYew Hoong Leong, Berinder Kaur, Ban Heng Choy, Joseph Boon Wooi Yeo, Sze Looi Chin
Place of PublicationAdelaide, SA
PublisherMERGA
Pages305-312
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9781920846329
Publication statusPublished - 2021
EventAnnual Conference of the Mathematics Education Research Group of Australasia (43rd : 2021) - , Singapore
Duration: 5 Jul 20218 Jul 2021

Conference

ConferenceAnnual Conference of the Mathematics Education Research Group of Australasia (43rd : 2021)
Country/TerritorySingapore
Period5/07/218/07/21

Keywords

  • early childhood
  • mathematics
  • symmetry
  • pedagogy
  • pattern
  • structure

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