TY - JOUR
T1 - The distribution by age of the frequency of first marriage in a female cohort
AU - Coale, A. J.
AU - McNeil, D. R.
PY - 1972
Y1 - 1972
N2 - The schedule recording first marriage frequencies has been shown to take the same basic form in different populations, with differences only in the origin, area, and horizontal scale. It is shown here that a representative schedule is very closely approximated by a simple closed form frequency function, which is the limiting distribution of the convolution of an infinite number of exponentially distributed components. The schedule is approximated equally well by the convolution of a normal distribution (of age of entry into a marriageable state) and as few as three exponentially distributed delays. The latter convolution provides a plausible model of nuptiality, a model that receives surprising empirical support.
AB - The schedule recording first marriage frequencies has been shown to take the same basic form in different populations, with differences only in the origin, area, and horizontal scale. It is shown here that a representative schedule is very closely approximated by a simple closed form frequency function, which is the limiting distribution of the convolution of an infinite number of exponentially distributed components. The schedule is approximated equally well by the convolution of a normal distribution (of age of entry into a marriageable state) and as few as three exponentially distributed delays. The latter convolution provides a plausible model of nuptiality, a model that receives surprising empirical support.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0015436355&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/01621459.1972.10481287
DO - 10.1080/01621459.1972.10481287
M3 - Article
C2 - 12276098
AN - SCOPUS:0015436355
SN - 0162-1459
VL - 67
SP - 743
EP - 749
JO - Journal of the American Statistical Association
JF - Journal of the American Statistical Association
IS - 340
ER -