The Intelligence conundrum: why do we continue to fail?

Alan Watson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


This article questions the recurrence of analytical failure within the intelligence community. Why does communication and analysis breakdown result to such an extent in intelligence errors, such as the failure to anticipate the commencement of the 1973 Yom Kippur War, or the WMD debacle that preceded the 2003 Persian Gulf War occur? Is there a common thread that is easily identifiable and if so why has this not been recognised and rectified? The aim of this article is to identify common threads in an attempt to ensure that recognition, along with discussion, leads to an acceptance of the need to provide change within a community which still exists in a post Cold War vacuum.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)37-46
Number of pages10
JournalJournal of the Australian Institute of Professional Intelligence Officers
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 2010


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