TY - JOUR
T1 - The pricing and efficiency of Australian treasury bond futures
AU - Frino, Alex
AU - He, William Peng
AU - Lepone, Andrew
PY - 2014
Y1 - 2014
N2 - This paper examines the efficiency of the Treasury Bond futures market in Australia. We provide a comprehensive explanation of the method used to price, and evaluate efficiency of the 3 and 10 Year Australian Treasury Bond Futures contracts, against underlying bond baskets. Results indicate that the futures contracts exhibit minimal variation from their theoretical value. Te average mispricing equates to 1.96 basis points for 3 Year and 1.19 basis points for 10 Year government bond futures contracts. However, during some periods (including the financial crisis of 2008), the bond futures contracts exhibit greater mispricing. Consistent with prior literature, we find a decreasing pattern of mispricing towards expiry, with the futures contract yields and average forward yields of the underlying bonds converging towards expiry. Further analysis reveals that volatility and time to expiry exhibit a significant positive relationship with the absolute level of mispricing.
AB - This paper examines the efficiency of the Treasury Bond futures market in Australia. We provide a comprehensive explanation of the method used to price, and evaluate efficiency of the 3 and 10 Year Australian Treasury Bond Futures contracts, against underlying bond baskets. Results indicate that the futures contracts exhibit minimal variation from their theoretical value. Te average mispricing equates to 1.96 basis points for 3 Year and 1.19 basis points for 10 Year government bond futures contracts. However, during some periods (including the financial crisis of 2008), the bond futures contracts exhibit greater mispricing. Consistent with prior literature, we find a decreasing pattern of mispricing towards expiry, with the futures contract yields and average forward yields of the underlying bonds converging towards expiry. Further analysis reveals that volatility and time to expiry exhibit a significant positive relationship with the absolute level of mispricing.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84924984871&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.14453/aabfj.v8i2.2
DO - 10.14453/aabfj.v8i2.2
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84924984871
SN - 1834-2000
VL - 8
SP - 3
EP - 14
JO - Australasian Accounting, Business and Finance Journal
JF - Australasian Accounting, Business and Finance Journal
IS - 2
ER -