The retirement risk zon E: A baseline study

This paper undertakes a baseline study to explore the heady mix of the portfolio size effect and sequencing risk facing superannuants within the retirement risk zone. It explores the impact on retirement outcomes when portfolios are subjected to a single sequencing risk event at different points through a member's investing life. We report sensitivities between the timing (or sequence) of a negative return event on terminal wealth outcomes and the associated impact on longevity risk. Our findings suggest that greater priority needs to be given to sequencing risk earlier in a member's accumulation phase than convention suggests.