Abstract
The efficiency of price determination in the Australian dollar (AUD) foreign currency market is of significant concern for national economic policy and well-being. This paper tests efficiency by assessing the profitability of technical trading rules applied to spot exchange rates. We show that trading-rule profits have tended to evaporate across the two decades since the floating of the exchange rate. As a check on the possible 'US dollar effect', we include three other major currencies in the analysis.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 272-283 |
Number of pages | 12 |
Journal | Economic Papers |
Volume | 25 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2006 |
Keywords
- foreign exchange
- profits
- filter rule
- market efficiency