Volcanic risk modelling for the North Island of New Zealand

C. R. Magill, Susanna Jenkins, R. J. Blong, K. J. McAneney

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingOther chapter contribution


    VolcaNZ is a probabilistic model created to analyse the hazards and economic impacts of future volcanic events within the North Island of New Zealand. Currently, the model uses Monte Carlo techniques to simulate tephra dispersal from the Auckland, Tuhua, Okataina, Taupo, Tongariro and Egmont volcanic centres and the resulting costs of building damage and cleanup. An important consideration in volcanic risk assessment is that an event may involve multiple eruptive phases with various magnitude and spatial scales. Parameters describing the temporal progression of each simulated event are sampled based on historical volcanic events and anticipated human actions, such as hazard mitigation and cleanup. This approach enables more realistic simulation of the consequences of long duration volcanic events, including the costs to business and government organisations.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationAustralian Earth Sciences Convention
    Subtitle of host publication2-6 July 2006, Melbourne Convention and Exhibition Centre : convention handbook
    Place of PublicationOsborne Park, WA
    PublisherRESolutions Resource & Energy Services
    Number of pages1
    ISBN (Print)0646462466
    Publication statusPublished - 2006
    EventAustralian Earth Sciences Convention - Melbourne
    Duration: 2 Jul 20066 Jul 2006

    Publication series

    NameAbstracts (Geological Society of Australia)
    PublisherRESolutions Resource & Energy Services
    ISSN (Print)0729-011X


    ConferenceAustralian Earth Sciences Convention


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